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Department of Physiology and Biophysics and Program in Macromolecular Structure, University of California at Irvine, Irvine, California 92697, USA
Reprint requests to: Stephen H. White, Department of Physiology and Biophysics, Medical Sciences I, D-346, University of California at Irvine, Irvine, CA 92697-4560, USA; e-mail: blanco{at}helium.biomol.uci.edu; fax: (949) 824-8540.
(RECEIVED February 29, 2004; FINAL REVISION February 29, 2004; ACCEPTED April 20, 2004)
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Keywords: protein databases; crystallography; database growth; soluble proteins
Article and publication are at http://www.proteinscience.org/cgi/doi/10.1110/ps.04712004.
Richard Dickerson, writing in 1978 (PDB Newsletter 2002), estimated that the structures of about 132 soluble proteins had been determined to sufficient resolution for the backbone to be traced. From a plot of the number of new structures per year (n) versus years (y), he determined that n = exp(ay) with a = 0.19. This growth rate predicted about 13,000 structures by 2001which turned out to be remarkably accurate. Dickersons letter was written 18 years after the publication (Kendrew et al. 1960) of the first high-resolution protein structure in 1960. The same amount of time has now elapsed since the publication (Deisenhofer et al. 1985) of the first high-resolution structure of a membrane protein (MP) in 1985. What has our progress been in this challenging field relative to soluble proteins, and what might the future hold?
Using data from the database of membrane proteins of known 3D structure that my laboratory maintains (see URL in legend, Fig. 1
), there were 75 unique MP structures at the close of 2003. An analysis similar to Dickersons yields a = 0.14 (data not shown). The 18-year cumulative exponential growths of new structures for both soluble and membrane proteins are shown in Figure 1
. The growth rate suggests that we can expect the number of new MP structures to exceed 100 some time in 2005; and by 2025, about 2200.
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| Acknowledgments |
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The publication costs of this article were defrayed in part by payment of page charges. This article must therefore be hereby marked "advertisement" in accordance with 18 USC section 1734 solely to indicate this fact.
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Kendrew, J.C., Dickerson, R.E., Strandberg, B.E., Hart, R.G., and Davies, D.R. 1960. Structure of myoglobin: A three-dimensional Fourier synthesis at 2 Å resolution. Nature 185: 422427.[CrossRef]
PDB Newsletter. 2002. No. 13, p. 3. Dickerson, R.E., letter. http://www.rcsb.org/pdb/dickerson.letter.html.
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